In his article in the Scotsman of yesterday Kevin Toolis in yesterday’s Scotsman
makes the point that nationalism is all embracing. He makes the point in relationship to Irish nationalism where the IRA members did not care about economics at all. Rather they had nationalism in their blood. This meant that should they go to the polls they would automatically vote for a United Ireland.
Toolis relates his experience of talking to Irish nationalists to the Scottish Nationalists situation. Nationalists will vote on passion not economics and will turn out on the voting day.
If I do a simple calculation based on 33% of Scots being nationalist and all going out to the polls; in contrast to only 50% of the No voters going to the polls then the Independence result is a tie.
I find this interesting; small variations in these figures could certainly bring in Independence for Scotland. In practice it does not matter what the turnout is, the figures are the same.